Ollie's Bargain Outlet Is A Discount Store Juggernaut: $OLLI ////
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Let me show you how to sift through Ollie's Bargain Outlet’s income statement and statement of cash flows to understand their financials really well. We can run my discounted cash flow model together to see if the stock is a buy or a sell. We are also analyzing the financial ratios to see how they compare to their competitors. We will look at the debt of the company and equity. We will also calculate the WACC (weighted average cost of capital) so we can discount the future cash flows. Let's also look to see if the company is paying a dividend.
0:00 Opening
0:24 High Level Company Detail
3:04 Financial Review
7:30 Capital Structure
8:26 Valuation Results
9:25 More info
13:34 Financial Ratios
14:30 Competitor Analysis
15:05 Closing
This video is not investment advice. It is for entertainment purposes only. It is my opinion using publicly available information. Seek a duly licensed professional for investment advice.
- Ollie's Bargain Outlet is a chain of discount retail stores. The first store was opened in Mechanicsburg, Pennsylvania, just outside Harrisburg. It has 388 locations in 25 states. It sells brand name products, including housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys and electronics. The reason it is able
to sell products at such low prices is because of it various sourcing strategies one example is it contacts stores like Target or Walmart and takes all of their excess inventory off their hands. Ollies may buy holiday products from Target a day after the holiday ended or if Walmart ordered too much Nabisco shredded wheat cereal and they could not sell all of it
and Walmart needs to make space to put other cereals on its shelf it may sell the excess Nabisco shredded wheat to Ollie's at 10% of the cost which is better for Walmart as opposed to just throwing it out. Ollie's has deep long-standing relationships with hundreds of major manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors, brokers and retailers. The ambience in each of its stores and its marketing is witty & humorous by using caricatures, bright colors and designs. Its store count has grown by a 14.4% annual compound annual growth rate since 2016. Same store sales has a grown by 19.3% annual CAGR since 2016.
- They do not have any stores on the W coast just the Eastern half of the US. The company has 2 distribution centers that can support 500-600 stores. 95% of its distribution comes out of its York, PA location. The other 5% from its Commerce, GA location. Its stores receive shipments from its distribution centers 2-3x a wk, depending on the season and specific store size and sales volume. The nice thing about its business model is that is has positive financial performance during strong and weak economic cycles. The weaker the economy the better this company performs.
- The company is headquartered in Harrisburg, PA and was founded in 1982
- It IPO'd in 2015 @ $16 per share. It trades on the Nasdaq & Deutsche Borse
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Ollie's Bargain Outlet: https://youtu.be/QcEo6FewtsA
Walmart: https://youtu.be/3cfNOt5bq4k
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I built this website to help small businesses value their company:
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Discounted cash flow (DCF) is a valuation method used to estimate the value of an investment based on its future cash flows. DCF analysis attempts to figure out the value of an investment today, based on projections of how much money it will generate in the future.
This video is not investment advice. It is for entertainment purposes only. It is my opinion using publicly available information. Seek a duly licensed professional for investment advice.
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